A lighter Mediterranean diet plus exercise could be the most delicious way to beat type 2 diabetes.
Universidad de Navarra
Eating a Mediterranean-style diet with fewer calories, adding moderate physical activity, and receiving professional guidance for weight management can lower the risk of developing type 2 diabetes by 31%. That is the key finding of PREDIMED-Plus, a large clinical trial led in Spain by the University of Navarra together with more than 200 researchers from 22 universities, hospitals, and research institutes. The project was carried out in over 100 primary care centers within Spain's National Health System.Launched in 2013 after the University of Navarra received an
Advanced Grant of over €2 million from the European Research Council (ERC),
PREDIMED-Plus is the largest nutrition trial ever conducted in Europe. Between
2014 and 2016, additional institutions joined the effort, bringing total
funding above 15 million euros. Most of the support came from the Carlos III
Health Institute (ISCIII) and the Center for Biomedical Research Network
(CIBER), through its divisions on Physiopathology of Obesity and Nutrition
(CIBEROBN), Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), and Diabetes and
Associated Metabolic Diseases (CIBERDEM).
The study, published in Annals of Internal Medicine,
followed 4,746 adults between the ages of 55 and 75 who were overweight or
obese and had metabolic syndrome but no prior history of cardiovascular disease
or diabetes. Over six years, researchers compared two groups. One group adopted
a calorie-reduced Mediterranean diet (about 600 fewer kilocalories per day),
engaged in moderate exercise such as brisk walking and strength and balance
training, and received professional counseling. The other group continued a
traditional Mediterranean diet without calorie limits or exercise advice.
The results revealed that the participants who followed the
calorie-reduced diet and exercise plan not only reduced their diabetes risk but
also lost more weight and trimmed more from their waistlines. On average, they
lost 3.3 kg and 3.6 cm from their waist, compared to 0.6 kg and 0.3 cm in the
control group. This translated to preventing about three new cases of type 2
diabetes for every 100 participants -- a meaningful benefit for public health.
"Diabetes is the first solid clinical outcome for which we have shown -- using the strongest available evidence -- that the Mediterranean diet with calorie reduction, physical activity and weight loss is a highly effective preventive tool," said Miguel Ángel Martínez-González, Professor of Preventive Medicine and Public Health at the University of Navarra, Adjunct Professor of Nutrition at Harvard University, and one of the principal investigators of the project. "Applied at scale in at-risk populations, these modest and sustained lifestyle changes could prevent thousands of new diagnoses every year. We hope soon to show similar evidence for other major public health challenges."
Type 2 Diabetes: A Preventable Global Epidemic
According to the International Diabetes Federation, type 2
diabetes now affects over 530 million people around the world. Its rise is
fueled by urbanization (unhealthy diets, sedentary lifestyles, reduced physical
activity), an aging population, and increasing rates of overweight and obesity.
In Spain, an estimated 4.7 million adults live with diabetes -- mostly type 2
-- giving the country one of the highest rates in Europe, where total cases
exceed 65 million. In the United States, roughly 38.5 million people have
diabetes, and the disease carries some of the highest per-patient healthcare
costs worldwide. Experts emphasize that prevention is crucial to slow this
escalating crisis, which greatly increases the risk of heart, kidney, and
metabolic complications.
"The Mediterranean diet acts synergistically to improve
insulin sensitivity and reduce inflammation. With PREDIMED-Plus, we demonstrate
that combining calorie control and physical activity enhances these
benefits," explained Miguel Ruiz-Canela, Professor and Chair of Preventive
Medicine and Public Health Department at the University of Navarra's School of
Medicine and first author of the study. "It is a tasty, sustainable and
culturally accepted approach that offers a practical and effective way to
prevent type 2 diabetes -- a global disease that is, to a large extent,
avoidable."
International Relevance and Support for a Realistic and
Scalable Strategy
Annals of Internal Medicine accompanied the publication with an editorial by Sharon J. Herring and Gina L. Tripicchio, nutrition and public health experts at Temple University (Philadelphia, USA). They praised the intervention's clinical relevance and its potential as a preventive model for type 2 diabetes. Furthermore, they warn that replicating similar strategies outside the Mediterranean context -- such as in the U.S. -- requires overcoming structural barriers, including unequal access to healthy foods, the limitations of the urban environment, and the lack of professional guidance.
In this
scenario, they advocate strengthening public policies that promote more
nutritious and more equitable environments. At a time when new drugs against
obesity and diabetes are grabbing headlines, PREDIMED-Plus demonstrates that
modest, sustained lifestyle changes can still deliver powerful health benefits.
The PREDIMED-Plus project (2013-2024), which involves different patients, is a continuation of the PREDIMED study (2003-2010). This study demonstrated that following a Mediterranean diet enriched with extra-virgin olive oil or nuts reduces the risk of cardiovascular disease by 30%. Researchers emphasize that primary care providers can integrate the new intervention as a sustainable, cost-efficient strategy to prevent type 2 diabetes on a large scale.
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