The Catastrophe of Trump’s War and Its Mounting Costs
Sorry to intrude on you again, but as we near the end of the fourth week of Trump’s war with no end in sight, I want to make sure you are aware of what he said today, and its implications.
After Tehran dismissed his 15-point ceasefire plan,
Trump claimed
today that Iran is “begging to make a deal” and that he wasn’t
the one pushing for negotiations. (Earlier, he told Tehran to “get serious
soon” about negotiating an end to the war.)
“They’ll tell you, ‘We’re not negotiating,’” Trump said.
“Of course, they’re negotiating. They’ve been obliterated.” He said Iran is
allowing some oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz as a “present” to
show how serious it is about negotiating to end the war.
He rejected reports that he was looking for an exit ramp. “I
read a story today that I’m desperate to make a deal,” Trump told
reporters. “I’m the opposite of desperate. I don’t care.”
Is he naive? Ignorant? Stupid? Or does he think we’re so
stupid as not to see that he’s making this up as he goes, that he has no plan,
no exit strategy, no way out?
Trump — and Pete Hegseth and anyone else who may be advising
him — have already blown this.
They thought the Iranian regime would fall as easily as the
capture of Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro. They assumed they could use air power
alone. Wrong on both counts.
They overestimated the capacity and desire of Iranians to
overthrow the regime.
They underestimated the regime’s resilience. They didn’t
count on it expanding the conflict through the use of cheap drones aimed at
closing the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting supply chains throughout the region,
and raising oil prices — thereby putting mounting political and economic
pressure on the United States.
They didn’t anticipate that they’d have to lift sanctions on
Iran, delivering the regime a huge windfall. Nor that they’d deliver vast oil
profits to Vladimir Putin.
To the extent they engaged in any planning at all, they
focused on America’s military might rather than the consequences of what might
happen next. But as we should have learned years ago from bombing North
Vietnam, political outcomes cannot be achieved solely from the skies.









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