Climate scientist who “proved” humanity is warming Earth says government report got it wrong
University of East Anglia
A pioneering climate scientist is challenging a U.S. government report that cited his research while reaching what he says is the exact opposite conclusion.
Benjamin Santer and his colleagues say decades of
satellite data clearly reveal the atmospheric “fingerprint” of human-caused
climate change. Their new peer-reviewed analysis argues the report contains
major scientific errors and should not be relied upon in climate policy
decisions.
A leading climate scientist is pushing back against what he
describes as "demonstrably incorrect" claims in a major US government
climate report, arguing that it misrepresented his research and understated the
role of human activity in global warming.
Prof Benjamin Santer, an Honorary Professor at the University of East Anglia (UEA), was one of the first researchers to identify a distinct human "fingerprint" in Earth's climate system. His work helped shape the landmark 1995 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which concluded for the first time that there was enough evidence to support a "discernible human influence" on the global climate.
In July 2025, however, a report issued by the US Department
of Energy (DOE) cited Santer's research while arguing the opposite conclusion.
The report was released the same day the US Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) proposed overturning the 2009 'endangerment finding' -- the ruling that
gives the agency legal authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from
vehicles, power plants, and other industrial sources.
Earlier this month, the Trump administration moved forward
with revoking the finding. The decision raised concerns about potential effects
on public health and efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Critics also
warned it could weaken other environmental protections in the United States.
New Analysis Defends Human Role in Climate Change
In a new paper published this week in AGU Advances,
Prof Santer joined fellow climate scientists Prof Susan Solomon of the
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Prof David Thompson of UEA and
Colorado State University, and Prof Qiang Fu of the University of Washington to
reaffirm the evidence that human activity is driving global warming.
The researchers also argue that the DOE report should not be
used to support legal decisions involving climate regulations such as the
endangerment finding.
"We view it both important and with precedent to rebut
an incorrect scientific claim made in the DOE report," said Prof Santer,
of UEA's Climatic Research Unit. "Setting the record straight in the
peer-reviewed literature is particularly important when demonstrably incorrect
scientific claims are made in official government reports.
"Changes in the vertical structure of atmospheric
temperature are an important 'fingerprint' of human effects on global climate.
These changes are mainly driven by human caused increases in atmospheric levels
of CO2 and other greenhouse gases.
"Key features of this fingerprint are warming of the
troposphere, the lowest layer of the atmosphere, and cooling of the
stratosphere, the layer above the troposphere. Satellite observations of this
distinctive fingerprint are in agreement with current state-of-the-art climate
model estimates of human-caused temperature changes.
"This indisputable fingerprint of human effects on
climate has been predicted for over 50 years by both simple and more
sophisticated climate models, and is identifiable in satellite temperature
data.
"The claim to the contrary made in the US DoE review of
climate science is factually incorrect. As our analysis clearly illustrates,
the DOE report is not a reliable source of information on the vertical
structure of changes in atmospheric temperature, which is a key piece of
evidence for human effects on global climate."
Questions Remain About the DOE Report
The authors note that additional scientific concerns have
been raised about other parts of the DOE report, including its treatment of
climate change detection and attribution. They also point out that the report
was cited 16 times in last year's EPA proposal.
After a lawsuit alleged that the DOE failed to follow
required Federal Advisory Committee procedures, the team that authored the
report was dissolved in early September.
However, the report itself has neither been withdrawn nor
corrected.
Prof Santer said: "The report is still available on the
DOE website and is still being publicly referenced by DOE Secretary Wright as a
credible source of information on climate science. It is not."
Journal Reference:
- Benjamin
D. Santer, Susan Solomon, David W. J. Thompson, Qiang Fu. Modeled
and Observed Stratospheric Temperature Changes: Implications for
Fingerprint Studies. AGU Advances, 2026; 7 (2) DOI: 10.1029/2025AV002196
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